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Monthly Archives: May 2015

INVESTMENT STRATEGY LETTER #633

28 Thursday May 2015

Posted by Carl M. Birkelbach in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

MARKET  ENVIRONMENT  THE  SAME

I have been out of the country for the last three weeks and markets look about the same as when I left. Although some new highs were made, the market is once again below those highs. So far today, the Chinese markets are down 2.25%. To me, markets worldwide continue to appear vulnerable. It will take the until Monday to reacquaint myself with current conditions. However, by bearish scenario seems very much intact and seems to be waiting for some unknown incident to happen. Continue to be cautious!

KEEP AN EYE ON THE CHART BELOW FOR BREAK OUT POINTS BELOW RESISTANCE OR ABOVE SUPPORT AREAS. Particularly  watch for a breakout below Dow 17,147/17,000, NASDAQ 4605/4545, S&P 500   1991/1973. That would change the Intermediate trend to DOWN

 Current  Dow NASDAQ S&P 500
18,107 5,088 2,116
Short Term DOWN DOWN DOWN
Int. Term SIDEWAYS SIDEWAYS SIDEWAYS
Long Term UP UP UP
ForecastedTrendd  DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500
Short Term Down Down Down
Int. Term ? ? ?
Long Term Sideways? Sideways? Sideways?
Breakout Points DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500
Short Term Up (Resistance) 18,288 5,101 2,120
Short Term Down (Support) 17,147/17,0000 4605/4,5455     1,991/1,9733
Int. Term Up (Resistance) 18,974 See Fibonacci Projections above 5,002 See Fibonacci Projections above 2,486 See Fibonacci Projections above
Int. Term Down (Support)  15,855         /15,356 /14,688 4,166 3,986/3294 1,820 /1,560
Long Term Up (Resistance) 18,974 5,132 3,044
Long Term Down Fibonacci Support 50%12,000  62% 10,750       50%2,958  62% 2,555 50%1,390 62% 1,177
 10 yr Treasury 2.05 Gold 1,183 Oil 59.78  

Investment Strategy Letter

07 Thursday May 2015

Posted by Carl M. Birkelbach in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

I WILL BE ON VACATION  AND RETURN  AFTER may 26.

KEEP AN EYE ON THE CHART BELOW FOR BREAK OUT POINTS BELOW RESISTANCE OR ABOVE SUPPORT AREAS. Particularly  watch for a breakout below Dow 17,147/17,000, NASDAQ 4605/4545, S&P 500   1991/1973. That would change the Intermediate trend to DOWN

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