AFTER BREAKING BELOW JANUARY LOWS THE MARKETS ARE NOW CHALLENGING THE DECEMBER HIGHS!
This week, should be an important week for those watching charts. The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ markets have already broken into new high ground above their December highs. It remains to be seen, whether the Dow industrial averages will break into new high ground. There has been a flurry of positive news lately, including good earnings reports, a cease-fire in Ukraine, higher oil prices above $52 a barrel, some accommodations with Greece and indications that the European Central Bank will try to stimulate the economy. I continue to believe that earnings will continue to deteriorate, the Ukraine cease-fire will not hold, oil prices are headed below $45 a barrel, Greece is a problem that will not go away and the stimulus ofEuropeans central bank is not enough to turn around a European deflationary scenario. Fourth productivity growth shows output per hour fell at a 1.8% in rate and was up 0.8% for all of 2014. That’s well below the average 2.2% between 1947 2014. Robert Atkinson Presient of the InformatiHowever, if the DOW INDU, breaks above new high ground and holds above that new high ground, the market is telling us it wants to ignore all the bad news AND just go higher. There’s an old saying in the stock market; “The trend is your friend”
Dow NASDAQ S&P
Current 18,047 4,899 2,100
December High 18,086 4,814 2,092
January High 17,400 4,700 2,013
January Lows 17,147 4,605 1,991
December Low 17,069 4,545 1,973